Business Model
25%GSK's revenue base is reasonably durable: HIV therapies and vaccines are non-discretionary, and the 2022 Haleon demerger sharpened focus on higher-value specialty segments. Three segments (Specialty Medicines 41%, Vaccines 28%, General Medicines 31% of FY2025 sales) provide moderate diversification. US geographic concentration (~52% of FY2024 revenue) and the approaching dolutegravir loss of exclusivity are the principal structural vulnerabilities. Revenue quality is highest in HIV and vaccines; General Medicines is more exposed to generic competition.
Competitive Advantages
40%GSK's competitive advantages rest primarily on patent protection and clinical differentiation. HIV/ViiV holds approximately 32% global market share with high clinical inertia for stable patients, and Shingrix leads the shingles vaccine market. Network effects are absent. Pricing power is constrained by payer negotiations and the US IRA. The dolutegravir patent cliff (2027-2028) will test whether long-acting injectables and the broader pipeline can sustain competitive positioning.
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